Newsletter · Monthly · 3 min read
📉 Friday the 13th Strikes D-Street: AI Fears & Global Tech Rout Drag Nifty Below 25,500
By Anand Kaduskar · Week ending Feb 13, 2026
This week in one paragraph
A global tech sell-off and fresh fears that generative AI is eating into IT services margins triggered a broad correction — Nifty fell 0.87% to 25,471 and Sensex shed nearly 1%, with money rotating out of IT and Metals into PSU Banks and FMCG, while a successful ₹755bn debt switch cooled the 10Y G-Sec yield to 6.67%.
If investors were superstitious, this week's Friday the 13th lived up to its notoriety. After days of consolidating gains from the recent India-US trade optimism, the Indian equity markets faced a sharp reality check. A global technology sell-off, combined with renewed fears over AI disrupting traditional IT models, triggered a broad-based correction that wiped out the week's gains.
The big picture: risk-off sentiment returns
The benchmark Nifty 50 ended the week down 0.87% at 25,471, slipping below the psychological support of 25,500. The Sensex followed suit, shedding nearly 1% to close at 82,626.
While the headline numbers look like a standard correction, the nature of the fall is significant. We are witnessing a clear sectoral rotation. Money is fleeing high-valuation growth sectors (like Tech and Realty) and hiding in "safety" pockets like PSU Banks and FMCG.
The trigger? A massive overnight plunge in the Nasdaq, driven by disappointing guidance from US tech giants and the launch of new enterprise-grade AI tools. The market is now pricing in a structural risk: is generative AI eating into the margins of Indian IT services faster than expected?
Sector watch: winners & losers
The bleeding edge: IT & Metals
- IT Services: the biggest drag on the index. Majors like Infosys and Wipro hit 9-month lows as the "AI disruption" narrative gained fresh momentum.
- Metals: Hindalco and Tata Steel cracked under pressure. Despite the trade deal hype, uncertainty over US tariffs on specific aluminum grades spooked investors.
The shield: Banks & staples
- Financial Services: contrary to panic selling elsewhere, we saw smart money moving into quality NBFCs. Bajaj Finance and top-tier insurers like HDFC Life witnessed value buying, acting as a buffer against the broader volatility.
- Consumer Staples (FMCG): true to their defensive nature, stocks like HUL and Nestlé India held firm. When uncertainty rises, the market inevitably returns to the safety of biscuits and soap.
- PSU Banks: SBI continues to defy gravity, supported by robust credit growth numbers and attractive valuations relative to private peers.
Flows: the FII vs DII tug-of-war
The liquidity narrative remains unchanged but intense.
- FIIs: turned aggressive net sellers on Friday (~₹4,500 Cr estimated), clearly spooked by the global risk-off mood.
- DIIs: continue to be the spine of this market. SIP inflows are absorbing the foreign exit, preventing a crash, but they can only cushion the fall, not prevent it entirely.
Beyond equities: bonds, rupee & crypto
- Debt markets: a quiet relief. The government's successful ₹755 billion debt switch eased borrowing pressure, cooling the 10Y G-Sec yield to 6.67%. This is a green shoot for bond investors looking for accrual income.
- Rupee (USD/INR): the currency remains under pressure at 90.61, largely due to a resurgent Dollar Index (DXY).
- Bitcoin: the crypto asset failed to act as a hedge this week. Behaving more like a leveraged tech stock, BTC slid 2.1% to trade near $68,000, mirroring the Nasdaq's weakness.
Educational content, not investment advice.